Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#205
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#158
Pace67.4#174
Improvement-2.4#260

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#203
Improvement-0.5#191

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#203
Improvement-1.9#269
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 70   @ Mississippi St. L 65-80 13%     0 - 1 -4.7 -4.4 -0.6
  Nov 20, 2011 22   @ Florida St. L 39-80 6%     0 - 2 -24.9 -24.0 +0.0
  Nov 23, 2011 85   @ LSU W 79-75 OT 15%     1 - 2 +13.2 +9.6 +3.4
  Nov 30, 2011 124   UAB W 55-47 44%     2 - 2 +7.6 -2.4 +11.9
  Dec 03, 2011 336   Alabama A&M W 67-44 93%     3 - 2 +4.4 -8.5 +14.7
  Dec 07, 2011 69   Southern Miss L 54-67 29%     3 - 3 -9.4 -7.4 -4.8
  Dec 11, 2011 335   Alcorn St. W 102-62 92%     4 - 3 +21.9 +8.3 +8.5
  Dec 15, 2011 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-64 67%     5 - 3 -4.5 -3.6 -0.8
  Dec 19, 2011 237   Georgia Southern W 70-57 71%     6 - 3 +5.1 -2.8 +8.5
  Dec 22, 2011 224   San Diego W 68-62 55%     7 - 3 +2.7 -7.0 +9.7
  Dec 31, 2011 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 52-68 11%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -4.4 -13.7 +9.3
  Jan 05, 2012 159   North Texas L 73-78 OT 53%     7 - 5 0 - 2 -7.7 -10.1 +3.1
  Jan 07, 2012 79   Denver L 50-67 31%     7 - 6 0 - 3 -14.0 -12.6 -5.2
  Jan 12, 2012 198   @ Louisiana W 70-65 36%     8 - 6 1 - 3 +6.5 -0.7 +6.9
  Jan 14, 2012 267   @ Troy W 75-60 53%     9 - 6 2 - 3 +12.2 -8.8 +20.0
  Jan 19, 2012 231   Florida International L 62-65 69%     9 - 7 2 - 4 -10.2 -8.8 -1.7
  Jan 21, 2012 54   Middle Tennessee L 47-68 26%     9 - 8 2 - 5 -16.2 -17.0 -1.6
  Jan 26, 2012 183   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 50-75 33%     9 - 9 2 - 6 -22.6 -9.7 -17.7
  Jan 29, 2012 267   Troy W 68-66 76%     10 - 9 3 - 6 -7.6 -11.9 +4.4
  Feb 02, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic W 65-56 64%     11 - 9 4 - 6 +3.2 -3.7 +7.8
  Feb 04, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky L 66-75 35%     11 - 10 4 - 7 -7.1 +3.6 -11.7
  Feb 09, 2012 193   Arkansas St. W 74-57 62%     12 - 10 5 - 7 +11.9 +4.1 +9.4
  Feb 11, 2012 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 88-86 69%     13 - 10 6 - 7 -5.1 +8.7 -13.8
  Feb 18, 2012 188   Western Kentucky W 66-61 61%     14 - 10 7 - 7 +0.1 -11.0 +10.8
  Feb 23, 2012 208   @ Florida Atlantic W 79-76 OT 38%     15 - 10 8 - 7 +4.0 +2.5 +1.4
  Feb 25, 2012 231   @ Florida International L 74-81 44%     15 - 11 8 - 8 -7.4 -1.5 -5.7
  Mar 03, 2012 267   Troy W 87-81 65%     16 - 11 -0.2 +6.6 -6.8
  Mar 04, 2012 79   Denver L 50-61 21%     16 - 12 -4.6 -16.2 +10.2
Projected Record 16.0 - 12.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%